@InProceedings{BarretoCavaEidt:2018:InVaOv,
               author = "Barreto, Naurinete de Jesus da Costa and Cavalcanti, Iracema 
                         Fonseca de Albuquerque and Eidt, Renata Tatsch",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Intraseasonal variability over South America using the 
                         sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting model NCEP-CFSv2",
                 year = "2018",
         organization = "International Conference for Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and 
                         Oceanography, 12. (AMOS-ICSHMO)",
             abstract = "Climate forecasts with subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) scales have 
                         received little attention until recently, even though surveys 
                         focused on seasonal forecasting are already being developed for 
                         several decades. The S2S forecasts seek to fill a significant gap 
                         between short and long term forecasts, and its applicability can 
                         be seen in several social and economic sectors. In this context, 
                         this study aimed to evaluate the degree of representativeness of 
                         the NCEP-CFSv2 reforecast rounds to the intraseasonal southern 
                         summer signal for South America. The initial results show that the 
                         model is able to consistently represent the intraseasonal signal 
                         on the region. There are differences between the observed and the 
                         simulated patterns, however the main patterns were detected, 
                         including the difference between signals in the Southeast and the 
                         South of Brazil. Still, other evaluations are necessary to verify 
                         the degree of sensitivity related to the propagation of the 
                         intraseasonal signal over the studied region. These results 
                         motivate a more detailed study considering precipitation 
                         variability and the importance of the socioeconomic well being of 
                         the region.",
  conference-location = "Sydney, Australias",
      conference-year = "05-09 feb.",
             language = "en",
        urlaccessdate = "11 maio 2024"
}